Gustav is still on it’s direct path to somewhere in Louisiana. As of now it looks like New Orleans will be clear of the eye but that’s no need to celebrate. The Northeast section of any storm is the worst part so for Gustav to head in south of Baton Rouge or even close to Lake Charles, then N.O. / Metairie will see some of the worst. A few models, as shown below, predict that the high pressure system that’s expanding above the panhandle of Florida will push Gustav further West towards the texas coastline. This could be good for New Orleans, but still bad for wherever the storm heads.

However, this high pressure system everybody is talking about is growing so rapid that it may wind up covering part of Mississippi and maybe even Louisiana. Sounds good right? Not. This storm will go North. If that high pressure system expands to cover the coast, Gustav will just stop in the gulf. Once again, sounds good right? Wrong! The longer Gustav sits in the Gulf of Mexico, the more strength will build and the more moisture accumulate. Good news would be for the high pressure to not form allowing Gustav to speed up and just hit land as a high two. Here is the NHC’s path:

Even though no models are showing it heading towards Florida, everybody around me is taking precautions. Families are leaving so they don’t take any chance. Gustav has an extremely good chance of changing paths last moment thanks to the coastal tides of the Gulf. A good example would be Katrina – destined for Pensacola, last minute heads for Biloxi. Here is the GOES 8 Radar as of right now. What a pretty shot of both Gustav and Hanna. Man, Hanna is another story all together. Check back tomorrow for an update on Hanna and Gustav.

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